5/16 Yeti Webcam Weekly

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	8	17.8%	14-8-2	62.5%	51.0%	54.5%	50.4%	1308	—
2		Wind Allies	Tier 2	7	15.6%	11-14-1	44.2%	49.6%	42.7%	49.4%	1285	—
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	5	11.1%	9-5-0	64.3%	51.0%	54.4%	50.4%	1277	—
4		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	4	8.9%	5-3-3	59.1%	50.1%	50.5%	49.8%	1432	↑ top
5		Water Allies	Tier 1	4	8.9%	10-5-0	66.7%	51.7%	53.5%	50.6%	1301	—
6		Fire Arcane	Tier 1	3	6.7%	4-6-2	41.7%	49.0%	50.0%	49.8%	1484	↑ top
7		Fire Erupting	Tier 2	2	4.4%	2-3-1	41.7%	49.8%	47.3%	49.8%	1398	↑ top
8		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-2-0	50.0%	49.7%	51.4%	50.0%	1197	↓ low
9		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-2-0	50.0%	49.9%	49.0%	49.8%	1291	—
10		Fire Neos	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-2-0	50.0%	49.6%	51.7%	49.9%	1259	—
11		Fire Neos Tonoris	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-2-0	50.0%	49.8%	44.7%	49.4%	1426	↑ top
12		Fire Tera Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.2%	0-3-0	0.0%	48.8%	36.9%	49.2%	1137	↓ low
13		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-2-0	50.0%	49.8%	53.3%	50.2%	1642	↑ top
14		Water Arisanna	Tier 2	1	2.2%	1-2-1	37.5%	49.4%	43.1%	49.4%	1444	↑ top
15		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.2%	1-3-0	25.0%	49.0%	41.0%	49.2%	1223	↓ low
16		Water Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.2%	0-4-0	0.0%	48.1%	40.0%	49.2%	1152	↓ low
17		Water Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.2%	0-1-0	0.0%	49.5%	40.0%	49.5%	1077	↓ low
18		Water Tera Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.2%	0-3-1	12.5%	48.6%	42.3%	49.4%	1083	↓ low
19		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.2%	4-0-0	100.0%	51.7%	62.4%	50.9%	1328	—
20		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.2%	1-2-1	37.5%	49.7%	45.9%	49.7%	1202	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 8 decks · 17.8%
• Wind Allies 7 decks · 15.6%
• Fire Aggro 5 decks · 11.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 4 decks · 8.9%
• Water Allies 4 decks · 8.9%
• Fire Arcane 3 decks · 6.7%
• Fire Erupting 2 decks · 4.4%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Neos Tonoris 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Tera Silvie 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Arisanna 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Lorraine 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Tera Silvie 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.2%