Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at 5/16 Yeti Webcam Weekly
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 17.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.7 |
| Wind Allies | 15.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.6% | +0.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Water Allies | 8.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.7 |
| Fire Erupting | 4.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.7% | +0.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Water Arisanna | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 15 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 15 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caliburn of Silencing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Water | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Planted Explosive | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spurn to Ash | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Serum of Wisdom | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fracturize | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Orb of Regret | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Fire | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Thousand Refractions | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |