HeldenTaverne Jena - Store Championship "Phantom Monarchs"

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Crux Assassin	Tier 2	2	22.2%	1-5-0	16.7%	35.3%	43.3%	45.1%	1170	↓ low
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	11.1%	3-1-0	75.0%	62.9%	55.0%	55.2%	1352	↑ top
3		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	11.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	46.2%	50.0%	51.0%	1171	↓ low
4		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-1-1	62.5%	56.4%	54.0%	53.6%	1234	—
5		Water Allies	Tier 1	1	11.1%	4-0-0	100.0%	57.2%	60.0%	52.7%	1490	↑ top
6		Water Chess	Tier 2	1	11.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	39.2%	40.0%	44.9%	976	↓ low
7		Water Tera Mage	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-1-1	62.5%	53.2%	54.0%	52.8%	1244	—
8		Wind Crux Merlin	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	51.4%	52.0%	51.9%	1268	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Crux Assassin 2 decks · 22.2%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 11.1%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Chess 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Crux Merlin 1 deck · 11.1%