← HeldenTaverne Jena - Store Championship "Phantom Monarchs"
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at HeldenTaverne Jena - Store Championship "Phantom Monarchs".
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Allies | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 100.0% | 57.2% | 60.0% | 52.7% | 1490 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 62.9% | 55.0% | 55.2% | 1352 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 62.5% | 53.2% | 54.0% | 52.8% | 1244 | — |
| 4 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 62.5% | 56.4% | 54.0% | 53.6% | 1234 | — |
| 5 | Wind Crux Merlin | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.4% | 52.0% | 51.9% | 1268 | — |
| 6 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 46.2% | 50.0% | 51.0% | 1171 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Crux Assassin | 2 | 22.2% | 6 | 16.7% | 35.3% | 43.3% | 45.1% | 1170 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Water Chess | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 39.2% | 40.0% | 44.9% | 976 | ↓ low |