Ember Rest - Store Championship - 07FEB2026

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	2	15.4%	2-5-0	28.6%	29.8%	45.6%	43.0%	1392	—
2		Water Genbu	Tier 1	2	15.4%	3-3-0	50.0%	48.5%	50.0%	49.8%	1492	↑ top
3		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	7.7%	2-1-0	66.7%	59.3%	57.8%	59.8%	1351	—
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	7.7%	2-2-0	50.0%	53.4%	48.0%	49.0%	1223	↓ low
5		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	7.7%	0-3-0	0.0%	39.0%	40.0%	44.9%	1097	↓ low
6		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	7.7%	0-2-0	0.0%	41.7%	40.0%	45.7%	1385	—
7		Water Fractal	Tier 1	1	7.7%	3-1-0	75.0%	73.9%	56.0%	60.2%	1497	↑ top
8		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	7.7%	2-2-0	50.0%	40.6%	53.3%	49.7%	1616	↑ top
9		Water Tera Mage	Tier 1	1	7.7%	4-0-0	100.0%	70.0%	60.0%	58.0%	1423	—
10		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	7.7%	3-1-0	75.0%	65.8%	56.0%	58.1%	1387	—
11		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	7.7%	1-2-0	33.3%	31.3%	46.7%	41.3%	1374	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 15.4%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 15.4%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 7.7%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 7.7%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 7.7%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 7.7%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 7.7%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 7.7%