← IWTS Phantom Monarch Store Championships
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at IWTS Phantom Monarch Store Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 100.0% | 71.2% | 60.0% | 58.5% | 1333 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 61.2% | 56.0% | 55.3% | 1240 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Exia | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 62.5% | 55.4% | 54.0% | 53.4% | 1216 | — |
| 4 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.7% | 52.0% | 52.1% | 1202 | — |
| 5 | Fire Seiryuu | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 62.5% | 56.3% | 52.0% | 52.1% | 1176 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.6% | 51.7% | 51.2% | 1225 | — |
| 7 | Wind Razorgale | 2 | 20.0% | 8 | 37.5% | 43.2% | 47.4% | 47.9% | 1189 | — |
| 8 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 38.9% | 44.0% | 44.7% | 1163 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Crux Merlin | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 0.0% | 26.9% | 40.0% | 40.6% | 1120 | ↓ low |