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Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2

at Stevenson Games PTM Store Champs

decks
1 (7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 1-2-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.2% avg ELO -5.6 per match
expected value
48.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1245 · median 1245 · range 1245–1245 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1065 Q1 1118 Q3 1378 1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 15.4% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 46.3% -5.9
Wind Shadowstrike 15.4% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.9% -1.1
Fire Crux Lorraine 7.7% 0
Fire Oblation 7.7% 0
Water Allies 7.7% 0
Water Crux Merlin 7.7% 0
Water Genbu 7.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.9% -14.5
Water Ravishing Mill 7.7% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 7.7% 0
Wind Alice 7.7% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 7.7% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/44493/archetypes/Fire Firebloom Burn