← Stevenson Games PTM Store Champs
Wind AliceTier 1
at Stevenson Games PTM Store Champs
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-1-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.4%
avg ELO -2.7 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1407
· median 1407
· range 1407–1407
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1065
Q1 1118
Q3 1378
1656
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.3% | -23.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 7.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +4.5 |
| Water Allies | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Alice decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
