← Stevenson Games PTM Store Champs
Water GenbuTier 1
at Stevenson Games PTM Store Champs
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-1-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.1%
avg ELO +5.8 per match
expected value
51.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1298
· median 1298
· range 1298–1298
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1065
Q1 1118
Q3 1378
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Fire Oblation | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.7% | -5.3 |
| Water Allies | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Alice | 7.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
