Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Store championship
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-2-1
overall winrate
64.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
69.9%
avg ELO +10.0 per match
expected value
54.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1262
· median 1262
· range 1262–1262
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1232
Q1 1265
Q3 1437
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 20.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.3 |
| Water Fractal | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.3 |
| Water Overlord | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.3 |
| Wind Arcane | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 10.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 52.8% | +2.7 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
