Fire SlimesTier 1
at Store championship
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.9%
avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
50.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1481
· median 1481
· range 1481–1481
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1232
Q1 1265
Q3 1437
1584
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 20.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 10.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.7% | -11.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Slimes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
