← Zulu's Lynnwood PTM Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Zulu's Lynnwood PTM Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Genbu | 2 | 9.1% | 10 | 65.0% | 57.2% | 55.3% | 53.5% | 1348 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 9.1% | 12 | 75.0% | 59.1% | 54.9% | 51.7% | 1375 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 9.1% | 12 | 62.5% | 60.5% | 53.1% | 54.1% | 1333 | — |
| 4 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 60.0% | 51.3% | 52.5% | 51.2% | 1315 | — |
| 5 | Water Allies | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 60.0% | 55.1% | 52.5% | 52.3% | 1357 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Allies | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 60.0% | 55.8% | 51.7% | 51.9% | 1323 | — |
| 7 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 50.0% | 46.7% | 49.0% | 47.9% | 1471 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Horse and Taxes | 2 | 9.1% | 12 | 50.0% | 48.2% | 48.9% | 48.4% | 1381 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 4.5% | 4 | 50.0% | 58.8% | 48.6% | 52.2% | 1140 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 9.1% | 8 | 37.5% | 43.5% | 48.0% | 48.4% | 1271 | — |
| 11 | Wind Silvie | 1 | 4.5% | 4 | 25.0% | 41.6% | 46.7% | 48.4% | 1168 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 4.5% | 4 | 37.5% | 34.1% | 46.7% | 42.1% | 1345 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Fire Tera Mage | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.8% | 45.7% | 48.1% | 1195 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Arcane | 2 | 9.1% | 8 | 25.0% | 42.8% | 43.3% | 46.4% | 1133 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 4.5% | 4 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 43.3% | 44.4% | 1272 | — |
| 16 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 4.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 37.9% | 40.0% | 44.4% | 1147 | ↓ low |