Fire OblationTier 1
at Dragon nest ga store champ
decks
2
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
6-4-1
overall winrate
59.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.0%
avg ELO +3.9 per match
expected value
50.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1385
· median 1385
· range 1305–1466
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1209
Q1 1304
Q3 1419
1730
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 14.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 10.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.5 |
| Water Allies | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.1 |
| Water Fractal | 7.1% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.1 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
