Wind AlliesTier 1
at Store Championship
decks
1
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-1-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.0%
avg ELO -1.7 per match
expected value
53.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1345
· median 1345
· range 1345–1345
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1051
Q1 1140
Q3 1284
1474
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.2% | -4.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Overlord | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.5 |
| Wind Overlord | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -2.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
