← The Game Center Narellan - PTM Store Champs
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at The Game Center Narellan - PTM Store Champs.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 5.3% | 7 | 71.4% | 68.1% | 55.4% | 57.3% | 1398 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 10.5% | 13 | 73.1% | 50.7% | 55.3% | 49.7% | 1443 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Fractal | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 59.2% | 54.3% | 55.0% | 1223 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Water Genbu | 2 | 10.5% | 10 | 65.0% | 53.9% | 53.2% | 51.4% | 1450 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.3% | 8 | 68.8% | 54.7% | 53.1% | 51.5% | 1546 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.3% | 7 | 64.3% | 61.2% | 51.7% | 52.4% | 1330 | — |
| 7 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 5.3% | 6 | 50.0% | 50.1% | 51.4% | 51.6% | 1438 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Arcane | 1 | 5.3% | 7 | 57.1% | 43.9% | 49.5% | 47.1% | 1552 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 5.3% | 6 | 58.3% | 51.0% | 49.0% | 48.1% | 1404 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 30.0% | 30.5% | 48.3% | 44.7% | 1431 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.3% | 48.0% | 50.1% | 1104 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Allies | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 40.0% | 56.5% | 46.7% | 51.8% | 1187 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 40.0% | 56.5% | 46.7% | 51.8% | 1187 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 10.5% | 9 | 33.3% | 46.8% | 45.0% | 49.1% | 1218 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 20.0% | 39.5% | 43.3% | 46.0% | 1191 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Suited | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 0.0% | 38.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | 1083 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Slimes | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 0.0% | 29.5% | 40.0% | 42.9% | 1104 | ↓ low |