Fire Crux MageTier 2
at 塔普卡 PTM賽季店冠賽
decks
1
(4.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.6%
avg ELO +5.0 per match
expected value
48.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1306
· median 1306
· range 1306–1306
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
945
Q1 1201
Q3 1386
1528
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 16.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 12.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.9% | +22.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
