Horse and TaxesTier 1
at 塔普卡 PTM賽季店冠賽
decks
1
(4.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-2-1
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.2%
avg ELO +3.3 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1322
· median 1322
· range 1322–1322
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
945
Q1 1201
Q3 1386
1528
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 16.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 12.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.8% | -5.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.5% | +23.3 |
| Wind Chess | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
