← 3/14/2026 [TCG] League PTM NA Online Grand Archive Regional #2
Wind ExiaTier 3
at 3/14/2026 [TCG] League PTM NA Online Grand Archive Regional #2
decks
1
(1.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.7%
avg ELO -1.9 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1415
· median 1415
· range 1415–1415
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1076
Q1 1259
Q3 1429
1652
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 9.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 7.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.8 |
| Water Allies | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -10.0 |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -7.9 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Byakko | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tristan | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
