← TripleTactics TCG PTM Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at TripleTactics TCG PTM Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 9.1% | 10 | 70.0% | 57.0% | 60.1% | 56.6% | 1448 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Fractal | 1 | 4.5% | 8 | 87.5% | 76.4% | 59.5% | 59.7% | 1460 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Umbra Diana | 1 | 4.5% | 4 | 75.0% | 63.2% | 56.7% | 56.1% | 1280 | — |
| 4 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.5% | 2 | 50.0% | 39.0% | 53.3% | 46.4% | 1388 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Crux Mage | 3 | 13.6% | 12 | 50.0% | 53.8% | 52.1% | 53.3% | 1314 | — |
| 6 | Fire Suited | 1 | 4.5% | 6 | 50.0% | 49.3% | 49.5% | 49.2% | 1430 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 9.1% | 11 | 50.0% | 44.1% | 49.3% | 47.4% | 1399 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Tera Mage | 1 | 4.5% | 6 | 50.0% | 48.9% | 49.1% | 48.8% | 1284 | — |
| 9 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 50.0% | 38.3% | 47.8% | 43.3% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 13.6% | 12 | 45.8% | 49.0% | 47.4% | 48.3% | 1296 | — |
| 11 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 9.1% | 9 | 33.3% | 47.2% | 46.2% | 48.3% | 1227 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 9.1% | 6 | 33.3% | 40.1% | 46.1% | 45.8% | 1259 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Genbu | 1 | 4.5% | 3 | 16.7% | 46.8% | 41.2% | 48.0% | 1147 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Exia | 1 | 4.5% | 4 | 0.0% | 34.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | 1067 | ↓ low |