← TCGE Grand Archive Store Championship 22/2
Fire SuitedTier 2
at TCGE Grand Archive Store Championship 22/2
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.8%
avg ELO +5.6 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1234
· median 1234
· range 1234–1234
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1182
Q1 1238
Q3 1499
1538
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 23.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.7% | +23.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Arisanna | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.3% | +22.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suited decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
