← Rapid Star PTM Store Championship
Fire ByakkoTier 2
at Rapid Star PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.8%
avg ELO -1.4 per match
expected value
45.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1333
· median 1333
· range 1333–1333
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1147
Q1 1277
Q3 1391
1535
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 20.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 20.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 15.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.7 |
| Fire Oblation | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.8% | +12.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Genbu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Byakko decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
