← Rapid Star PTM Store Championship
Water Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Rapid Star PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.4%
avg ELO +4.3 per match
expected value
50.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1226
· median 1226
· range 1226–1226
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1147
Q1 1277
Q3 1391
1535
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 20.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.2% | +5.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 20.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +2.3 |
| Water Fractal | 15.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.1% | +19.4 |
| Fire Byakko | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.6 |
| Fire Genbu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
