← Wilczek - Store Championships - PTM - 01/03/2026
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Wilczek - Store Championships - PTM - 01/03/2026.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 4.2% | 9 | 83.3% | 51.8% | 57.6% | 50.6% | 1510 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 4.2% | 7 | 64.3% | 59.5% | 56.7% | 55.6% | 1356 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 4.2% | 7 | 64.3% | 43.5% | 53.8% | 48.0% | 1468 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 4.2% | 9 | 61.1% | 63.2% | 53.6% | 55.3% | 1254 | — |
| 5 | Fire Suited | 1 | 4.2% | 7 | 64.3% | 55.4% | 52.0% | 51.0% | 1350 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 8.3% | 13 | 50.0% | 46.4% | 51.8% | 49.9% | 1280 | — |
| 7 | Water Allies | 1 | 4.2% | 7 | 57.1% | 59.7% | 51.4% | 53.4% | 1244 | — |
| 8 | Fire Suzaku | 2 | 8.3% | 7 | 50.0% | 54.7% | 50.0% | 52.1% | 1245 | — |
| 9 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 50.0% | 55.4% | 50.0% | 50.9% | 1096 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 52.1% | 50.0% | 48.9% | 1385 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 3 | 12.5% | 13 | 46.2% | 50.7% | 49.2% | 49.9% | 1286 | — |
| 12 | Water Ravishing Mill | 2 | 8.3% | 12 | 50.0% | 59.3% | 48.7% | 51.9% | 1181 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 4.2% | 6 | 50.0% | 56.0% | 48.6% | 50.7% | 1152 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Water Tera Kongming | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 34.9% | 47.5% | 43.8% | 1262 | — |
| 15 | Fire Exia | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 37.5% | 47.7% | 47.1% | 49.4% | 1197 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 39.4% | 46.7% | 47.6% | 1218 | — |
| 17 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 30.0% | 42.4% | 46.0% | 47.2% | 1172 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 35.6% | 43.3% | 39.4% | 1302 | — |
| 19 | Fire Tera Kongming | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 0.0% | 36.8% | 40.0% | 44.4% | 983 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 0.0% | 33.5% | 40.0% | 42.7% | 1084 | ↓ low |