Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at Hideout PTM STORE CHAMPS
decks
3
(12.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
2-10-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.7%
avg ELO -4.0 per match
expected value
41.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1205
· median 1205
· range 1194–1216
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1110
Q1 1266
Q3 1388
1525
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 8.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.4% | -11.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -19.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 8.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 44.1% | -5.6 |
| Wind Allies | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 66.3% | +26.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.4% | -9.2 |
| Fire Exia | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 59.4% | +9.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -9.9 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
