← Yeti Gaming In-Person Regional 4/6/2024
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Gaming In-Person Regional 4/6/2024.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 9.5% | 8 | 100.0% | 76.6% | 68.1% | 64.9% | 1561 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Erupting | 2 | 9.5% | 8 | 62.5% | 54.4% | 53.8% | 52.3% | 1281 | — |
| 3 | Water Allies | 4 | 19.0% | 19 | 57.9% | 58.7% | 53.4% | 54.5% | 1297 | — |
| 4 | Water Crux Merlin | 1 | 4.8% | 6 | 66.7% | 62.7% | 50.8% | 52.3% | 1186 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 50.0% | 48.2% | 48.9% | 48.9% | 1224 | — |
| 6 | Wind Vanitas | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 40.0% | 56.5% | 46.7% | 51.8% | 1000 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Tera Silvie | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 50.0% | 48.9% | 46.4% | 46.7% | 1121 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Wind Allies | 2 | 9.5% | 10 | 40.0% | 31.0% | 46.3% | 41.0% | 1382 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 4.8% | 4 | 25.0% | 38.2% | 45.2% | 45.5% | 1170 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Beast | 1 | 4.8% | 4 | 25.0% | 36.6% | 45.0% | 44.6% | 1454 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Crux Mage | 3 | 14.3% | 12 | 41.7% | 47.0% | 44.6% | 46.5% | 1249 | — |
| 12 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 9.5% | 8 | 37.5% | 47.3% | 40.8% | 44.1% | 1176 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 4.8% | 4 | 0.0% | 27.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | 1141 | ↓ low |