Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at DX STORE CHAMP
decks
2
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-2-3
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.3%
avg ELO +1.6 per match
expected value
49.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1227
· median 1227
· range 1091–1364
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1088
Q1 1261
Q3 1409
1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.2% | +21.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 3.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.2% | -6.1 |
| Water Genbu | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.2% | -6.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.3% | -4.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
