← Good Games Canberra City Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Good Games Canberra City Phantom Monarchs Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 90.0% | 65.3% | 59.4% | 56.0% | 1431 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Genbu | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 80.0% | 54.4% | 58.7% | 52.8% | 1456 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Allies | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.7% | 52.0% | 52.6% | 1315 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Umbra Diana | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 62.0% | 52.0% | 51.7% | 1178 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Water Ravishing Mill | 2 | 20.0% | 8 | 50.0% | 53.7% | 50.5% | 51.6% | 1229 | — |
| 6 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.4% | 50.0% | 50.3% | 1211 | — |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 20.0% | 7 | 35.7% | 42.8% | 46.3% | 46.9% | 1238 | — |
| 8 | Wind Arcane Rai | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 20.0% | 39.2% | 43.3% | 45.7% | 1176 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Crux Merlin | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 0.0% | 31.1% | 40.0% | 42.4% | 1051 | ↓ low |