← Luxera's Map MRC Tournament Open
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Luxera's Map MRC Tournament Open
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.8% | +0.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.2% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 49.2% | -0.5 |
| Slimes | 10.2% | 6 | 0-5-1 | 8.3% | 25.0% | 47.3% | -1.4 |
| Wind Allies | 7.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 48.8% | -0.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Water Allies | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.2% | -0.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.3 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 1.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.9% | -1.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.7 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arcane | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Wind Beast | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.2 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 27 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 27 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Fire | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Purge in Flames | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tether in Flames | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Exorcise Curses | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Focused Flames | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Devastating Blow | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flame-Rune Swordsman | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crux Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sudden Steel | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spark Alight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Clumsy Apprentice | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Prismatic Edge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |