← RDO Store Championship @ Favonia Kampar

Fire Crux MageTier 1

at RDO Store Championship @ Favonia Kampar

decks
2 (12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7 3-2-2
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.7% avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
52.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1331 · median 1331 · range 1235–1428 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1032 Q1 1162 Q3 1421 1460
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Suzaku 18.8% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.2% -1.7
Water Tera Cleric 18.8% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 50.0% -0.0
Fire Slimes 6.2% 0
Luxem Mordred 6.2% 0
Slimes 6.2% 0
Water Aetherwing 6.2% 0
Water Chess 6.2% 0
Water Genbu 6.2% 0
Water Whirlpool Mill 6.2% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 44.8% -8.4
Wind Razorgale 6.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.0% -6.4
Wind Shadowstrike 6.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.6% +13.7
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin -1.00 0 1 0
Sword of Shadows +1.00 1 0 0
Sword of Seeking -1.00 0 1 0
Gentle Respite -1.00 0 1 0
Stalwart Shieldmate +1.00 1 0 0
Crux Sight -1.00 0 1 0
Sudden Steel -1.00 0 1 0
Cremation Ritual +1.00 1 0 0
Crystallized Destiny +1.00 1 0 0
Spirit Blade: Ascension -1.00 0 1 0
Sabela, Gossamer Penance +1.00 1 0 0
Regal Inquisition -1.00 0 1 0
Reduce to Ash -1.00 0 1 0
Angel Attendant +1.00 1 0 0
Angelic Channeling +1.00 1 0 0
Imperial Countermeasure +1.00 1 0 0
Stolen Chance -1.00 0 1 0
Expel the Departed +1.00 1 0 0
Flame Sweep +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Reprogram +1.00 1 0 0
Varuckan Acolyte +1.00 1 0 0
Facet the Forgotten +1.00 1 0 0
Protect Her At All Costs -1.00 0 1 0
Prismatic Edge -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/50291/archetypes/Fire Crux Mage