← RDO Store Championship @ Favonia Kampar
Water AetherwingTier 1
at RDO Store Championship @ Favonia Kampar
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
5-0-1
overall winrate
91.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
71.6%
avg ELO +11.5 per match
expected value
57.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1404
· median 1404
· range 1404–1404
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1032
Q1 1162
Q3 1421
1460
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suzaku | 18.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.3% | +3.7 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 18.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luxem Mordred | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.7 |
| Water Chess | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.1 |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.6% | +16.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
