← RDO Store Championship @ Favonia Kampar
Water Tera ClericTier 2
at RDO Store Championship @ Favonia Kampar
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suzaku | 18.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Luxem Mordred | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.9 |
| Water Chess | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.7% | -5.3 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 32 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 32 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Song of Frost | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diamond Ribbon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Frozen Dismissal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Engulf | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Maiden of Waning Bloom | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unyielding Wraithguard | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Throne-Keeper Bullfrog | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lost Providence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eventide Lure | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flourishing Restoration | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mana Resonance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spalling Cleanse | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Barrier | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blossoming Denial | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Quiet Refraction | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lucenia's Reign | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fractal of Insight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Perishing Florets | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bloom: Summer's Glow | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Refracting Missile | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Art of War | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kaleidoscope Barrette | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |