← RDO Store Championship @ Favonia Kampar
Fire SuzakuTier 1
at RDO Store Championship @ Favonia Kampar
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Tera Cleric | 18.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +1.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.8 |
| Luxem Mordred | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Water Chess | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 69.0% | +18.3 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.9% | -16.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 10 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 10 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smoke Out | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shatter the Brittle | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fiery Interference | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unyielding Wraithguard | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Restoring Embers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stolen Chance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guo Jia, Blessed Scion | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |