← Wild Magic Store - Store Championship - Radiant Origins

Fire ExiaTier 2

at Wild Magic Store - Store Championship - Radiant Origins

decks
1 (5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 1-3-1
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.8% avg ELO -5.9 per match
expected value
45.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1152 · median 1152 · range 1152–1152 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1055 Q1 1126 Q3 1325 1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Mage 16.7% 0
Fire Suited 11.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.8% -18.0
Fire Aetherwing 5.6% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 5.6% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.6% 0
Fire Oblation 5.6% 0
Fire Polkhawk 5.6% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 5.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.7% -13.3
Luxem Mordred 5.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.4% +11.8
Water Genbu 5.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.9% -8.1
Water Ravishing Mill 5.6% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 5.6% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.9% -1.8
Wind Razorgale 5.6% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 5.6% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/50893/archetypes/Fire Exia