← Wild Magic Store - Store Championship - Radiant Origins
Water GenbuTier 1
at Wild Magic Store - Store Championship - Radiant Origins
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
5-2-0
overall winrate
71.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.0%
avg ELO +4.0 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1421
· median 1421
· range 1421–1421
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1126
Q3 1325
1532
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -19.0 |
| Fire Suited | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.0% | +20.8 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luxem Mordred | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
