← Wild Magic Store - Store Championship - Radiant Origins
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at Wild Magic Store - Store Championship - Radiant Origins
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-1-1
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.5%
avg ELO +7.8 per match
expected value
52.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1257
· median 1257
· range 1257–1257
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1126
Q3 1325
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Fire Suited | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.4 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
| Luxem Mordred | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
