← RDO Store Champs - Card Merchant
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at RDO Store Champs - Card Merchant.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Genbu | 1 | 7.1% | 6 | 83.3% | 66.5% | 57.3% | 56.3% | 1575 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 42.7% | 53.3% | 47.6% | 1558 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 54.5% | 52.0% | 53.3% | 1225 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 62.5% | 52.8% | 52.0% | 51.8% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 2 | 14.3% | 10 | 55.0% | 42.7% | 51.0% | 47.2% | 1390 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 65.8% | 50.0% | 54.3% | 1273 | — |
| 7 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 59.3% | 50.0% | 53.7% | 1058 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.6% | 50.0% | 51.0% | 1368 | — |
| 9 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 7.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 34.3% | 50.0% | 45.8% | 1383 | — |
| 10 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 57.8% | 50.0% | 53.1% | 1244 | — |
| 11 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 44.9% | 45.0% | 48.0% | 1205 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Arcane Rai | 1 | 7.1% | 2 | 0.0% | 26.5% | 40.0% | 35.9% | 1297 | — |
| 13 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 7.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 43.1% | 35.6% | 46.0% | 921 | ↓ low |