EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at KYD RDO Store Champion.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 2 | 4.3% | 15 | 76.7% | 54.2% | 61.1% | 53.1% | 1567 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 2.2% | 9 | 72.2% | 56.7% | 57.1% | 54.5% | 1618 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 3 | 6.5% | 20 | 70.0% | 67.4% | 56.1% | 56.4% | 1371 | — |
| 4 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 2.2% | 8 | 68.8% | 65.5% | 54.9% | 56.1% | 1407 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 2.2% | 6 | 75.0% | 60.3% | 54.3% | 51.8% | 1441 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Genbu | 1 | 2.2% | 6 | 50.0% | 46.7% | 52.4% | 51.2% | 1311 | — |
| 7 | Water Whirlpool Mill | 1 | 2.2% | 6 | 50.0% | 46.7% | 52.4% | 51.2% | 1311 | — |
| 8 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 4.3% | 12 | 50.0% | 41.3% | 52.0% | 48.0% | 1434 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Wind Razorgale | 7 | 15.2% | 33 | 42.4% | 45.1% | 51.1% | 51.2% | 1331 | — |
| 10 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 2.2% | 6 | 50.0% | 45.4% | 50.0% | 48.8% | 1307 | — |
| 11 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 2.2% | 7 | 57.1% | 49.7% | 49.8% | 47.7% | 1416 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Fire Umbra Ciel | 1 | 2.2% | 6 | 50.0% | 49.1% | 49.1% | 49.9% | 1348 | — |
| 13 | Wind Seiryuu | 4 | 8.7% | 21 | 59.5% | 60.0% | 48.9% | 50.1% | 1405 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Slimes | 1 | 2.2% | 6 | 41.7% | 50.1% | 48.3% | 49.6% | 1179 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Fire Suzaku | 2 | 4.3% | 11 | 50.0% | 65.4% | 48.1% | 53.4% | 1218 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Water Aetherwing | 5 | 10.9% | 29 | 50.0% | 49.4% | 47.4% | 46.9% | 1396 | ↑ top |
| 17 | Wind Shadowstrike | 4 | 8.7% | 14 | 35.7% | 43.2% | 46.9% | 48.5% | 1248 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Water Neos | 1 | 2.2% | 6 | 41.7% | 48.4% | 46.7% | 48.6% | 1128 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 2.2% | 6 | 41.7% | 37.6% | 45.4% | 43.0% | 1319 | — |
| 20 | Fire Exia | 1 | 2.2% | 6 | 41.7% | 53.7% | 45.0% | 49.5% | 1175 | ↓ low |
| 21 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 2.2% | 6 | 50.0% | 56.3% | 44.3% | 47.4% | 1277 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Water Suited | 1 | 2.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 28.8% | 43.1% | 38.2% | 1491 | ↑ top |
| 23 | Wind Exalted Alice | 1 | 2.2% | 7 | 14.3% | 35.0% | 41.8% | 43.8% | 1281 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 2.2% | 5 | 10.0% | 38.1% | 40.8% | 44.9% | 1074 | ↓ low |
| 25 | Fire Tera Cleric | 1 | 2.2% | 5 | 0.0% | 27.8% | 40.0% | 42.7% | 1112 | ↓ low |
| 26 | Water Fractal | 1 | 2.2% | 5 | 20.0% | 42.8% | 40.0% | 44.7% | 1174 | ↓ low |