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Water Crux AssassinTier 2

at Radiant Origins Store Championship

decks
1 (5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 0-5-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.5% avg ELO -8.3 per match
expected value
40.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1006 · median 1006 · range 1006–1006 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1006 Q1 1223 Q3 1435 1560
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Exia 16.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.0% -4.8
Fire Umbra Guardian 11.1% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 11.1% 0
Chess 5.6% 0
Fire Aggro 5.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.5% -13.7
Fire Oblation 5.6% 0
Water Aetherwing 5.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.9% -8.1
Water Astra Cleric 5.6% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 5.6% 0
Water Tera Cleric 5.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.1% -12.7
Water Whirlpool Mill 5.6% 0
Wind Arcane 5.6% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 5.6% 0
Wind Razorgale 5.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.4% -2.5
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Crux Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/51301/archetypes/Water Crux Assassin