← Radiant Origins Store Championship
Water Crux AssassinTier 2
at Radiant Origins Store Championship
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-5-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.5%
avg ELO -8.3 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1006
· median 1006
· range 1006–1006
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1006
Q1 1223
Q3 1435
1560
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Exia | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chess | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.7 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.1 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.7 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.4% | -2.5 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
