← Radiant Origins Store Championship
Water Whirlpool MillTier 1
at Radiant Origins Store Championship
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-1-2
overall winrate
71.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
67.0%
avg ELO +8.6 per match
expected value
54.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1385
· median 1385
· range 1385–1385
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1006
Q1 1223
Q3 1435
1560
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Exia | 16.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.5% | +5.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.7% | +23.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.7% | +6.4 |
| Chess | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Whirlpool Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
