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Water Luxem AssassinTier 1

at Radiant Origins Store Championship

decks
1 (5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.7% avg ELO -3.6 per match
expected value
53.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1388 · median 1388 · range 1388–1388 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1006 Q1 1223 Q3 1435 1560
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Exia 16.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.2% +9.9
Fire Umbra Guardian 11.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.7% +5.9
Wind Shadowstrike 11.1% 0
Chess 5.6% 0
Fire Aggro 5.6% 0
Fire Oblation 5.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.3% -18.7
Water Aetherwing 5.6% 0
Water Astra Cleric 5.6% 0
Water Crux Assassin 5.6% 0
Water Tera Cleric 5.6% 0
Water Whirlpool Mill 5.6% 0
Wind Arcane 5.6% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 5.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.6% -15.1
Wind Razorgale 5.6% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.9% -0.2
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/51301/archetypes/Water Luxem Assassin