Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at Card's Village Store champ
decks
1
(3.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-3-0
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.8%
avg ELO -3.1 per match
expected value
52.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1518
· median 1518
· range 1518–1518
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1059
Q1 1226
Q3 1403
1730
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 12.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.6% | -21.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.6 |
| Fire Suited | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.7% | -19.7 |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.7% | -19.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
