Water Whirlpool MillTier 2
at Card's Village Store champ
decks
1
(3.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-2-1
overall winrate
68.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.4%
avg ELO +6.4 per match
expected value
52.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1372
· median 1372
· range 1372–1372
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1059
Q1 1226
Q3 1403
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 12.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.3% | +19.7 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -11.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.0 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Whirlpool Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
