EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 塔普卡 RDO賽季店冠賽.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 5.6% | 7 | 71.4% | 48.0% | 56.2% | 48.7% | 1535 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.6% | 7 | 71.4% | 48.0% | 56.2% | 48.7% | 1535 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 2 | 11.1% | 14 | 60.7% | 64.3% | 55.7% | 57.8% | 1340 | — |
| 4 | Wind Razorgale | 2 | 11.1% | 13 | 61.5% | 49.6% | 53.0% | 49.1% | 1368 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 11.1% | 13 | 57.7% | 58.6% | 52.1% | 52.5% | 1330 | — |
| 6 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 5.6% | 6 | 58.3% | 55.3% | 50.8% | 51.5% | 1306 | — |
| 7 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.6% | 5 | 50.0% | 47.2% | 50.0% | 49.9% | 1223 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 5.6% | 7 | 42.9% | 49.0% | 48.9% | 50.2% | 1284 | — |
| 9 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 5.6% | 5 | 40.0% | 56.0% | 47.8% | 53.1% | 1173 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Fractal | 2 | 11.1% | 9 | 44.4% | 42.4% | 45.9% | 45.2% | 1234 | — |
| 11 | Water Luxem Mordred | 1 | 5.6% | 5 | 40.0% | 58.5% | 45.7% | 51.0% | 1023 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 5.6% | 5 | 20.0% | 55.7% | 42.5% | 50.8% | 945 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 5.6% | 2 | 0.0% | 22.0% | 40.0% | 33.5% | 1471 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Fire Exia | 1 | 5.6% | 4 | 0.0% | 28.3% | 40.0% | 41.9% | 1271 | — |
| 15 | Water Slimes | 1 | 5.6% | 2 | 0.0% | 31.5% | 40.0% | 38.9% | 1429 | ↑ top |