Little Spectacles Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	2	18.2%	4-3-1	56.2%	50.4%	53.6%	51.1%	1374	—
2		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	2	18.2%	3-3-0	50.0%	46.2%	48.6%	48.5%	1240	↓ low
3		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	9.1%	4-0-0	100.0%	77.4%	61.7%	62.3%	1507	↑ top
4		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	9.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	52.9%	44.0%	48.8%	1294	—
5		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	9.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	34.7%	48.0%	44.2%	1502	↑ top
6		Water Exia	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-2-0	0.0%	47.8%	40.0%	48.7%	994	↓ low
7		Water Whirlpool Mill	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-2-0	0.0%	47.8%	40.0%	48.7%	994	↓ low
8		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	9.1%	4-1-1	75.0%	55.1%	56.1%	53.0%	1393	↑ top
9		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	9.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	43.0%	56.7%	49.8%	1474	↑ top
10		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	41.3%	40.0%	45.6%	1235	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 18.2%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 18.2%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Exia 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Whirlpool Mill 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 9.1%