← The Light Store Championship
Wind Luxem AssassinTier 1
at The Light Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 14.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.4% | +2.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 71.0% | +20.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 9.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 47.6% | -2.3 |
| Water Genbu | 9.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.9% | -5.9 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Water Chess | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.1% | -3.7 |
| Water Neos | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.1% | -3.7 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 4.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.0% | +15.3 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.8% | +22.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 10 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 10 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Attendant | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tempestuous Seraphim | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aella, Zephyr's Hand | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sirocco Operative | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Noble Dissolution | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |