Water AetherwingTier 1
at 店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.4%
avg ELO +4.7 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1348
· median 1348
· range 1348–1348
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1188
Q1 1272
Q3 1432
1491
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 13.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.4% | +19.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.4 |
| Fire Suited | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.9% | +22.2 |
| Water Fractal | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Cleric | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
