← HP Wolves Den - Radiant Origins Season Store Championship
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at HP Wolves Den - Radiant Origins Season Store Championship
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
4-5-2
overall winrate
45.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.5%
avg ELO -1.5 per match
expected value
47.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1341
· median 1341
· range 1234–1449
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1114
Q1 1260
Q3 1448
1630
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 9.4% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.6% | -7.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exalted Mordred | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Overlord | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Slimes | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.6% | -6.2 |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Water Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.2 |
| Wind Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.4 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.2 |
