HP Wolves Den - Radiant Origins Season Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	3	9.4%	5-6-2	46.2%	42.9%	49.8%	48.5%	1396	—
2		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	6.2%	4-5-2	45.5%	46.5%	47.2%	47.6%	1341	—
3		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	2	6.2%	7-2-1	75.0%	61.6%	56.2%	54.0%	1463	↑ top
4		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	6.2%	4-4-0	50.0%	47.7%	47.5%	48.9%	1420	↑ top
5		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	39.8%	45.0%	45.9%	1241	↓ low
6		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	48.5%	52.5%	51.7%	1351	—
7		Fire Exalted Mordred	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-3-1	12.5%	27.6%	42.5%	41.0%	1341	—
8		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-1-1	70.0%	53.7%	51.7%	49.8%	1467	↑ top
9		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	3.1%	5-1-0	83.3%	72.1%	55.6%	57.0%	1496	↑ top
10		Fire Overlord	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-4-0	0.0%	24.2%	40.0%	39.7%	1221	↓ low
11		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	49.0%	52.5%	50.4%	1448	↑ top
12		Fire Umbra Alice	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	52.7%	44.4%	48.7%	1182	↓ low
13		Slimes	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	51.7%	54.3%	52.6%	1362	—
14		Water Astra Diana	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	39.2%	45.0%	43.9%	1352	—
15		Water Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-1-1	70.0%	64.3%	56.7%	58.0%	1427	↑ top
16		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-3-1	30.0%	40.7%	43.8%	45.4%	1168	↓ low
17		Water Exia	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	51.1%	52.5%	52.2%	1559	↑ top
18		Water Slimes	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	57.2%	50.0%	50.4%	1345	—
19		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-2-2	40.0%	52.1%	47.5%	50.8%	1316	—
20		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-1-0	80.0%	57.3%	56.7%	53.2%	1365	—
21		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	53.3%	48.0%	51.2%	1325	—
22		Wind Diana	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-5-1	8.3%	40.3%	41.7%	46.8%	1114	↓ low
23		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	46.2%	44.0%	47.8%	1267	↓ low
24		Wind Neos	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-4-0	33.3%	44.6%	46.7%	48.2%	1331	—
25		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	57.5%	50.0%	52.7%	1189	↓ low
26		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	3.1%	5-0-0	100.0%	67.2%	60.0%	56.3%	1563	↑ top
27		Wind Slice & Dice	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-3-1	30.0%	49.1%	44.3%	49.1%	1160	↓ low
28		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-1-0	80.0%	57.3%	56.7%	53.2%	1365	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Slimes 3 decks · 9.4%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 6.2%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Exalted Mordred 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Overlord 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Umbra Alice 1 deck · 3.1%
• Slimes 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Astra Diana 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Exia 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Slimes 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Diana 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Slice & Dice 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 3.1%