← HP Wolves Den - Radiant Origins Season Store Championship
Water SlimesTier 2
at HP Wolves Den - Radiant Origins Season Store Championship
decks
1
(3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.2%
avg ELO +4.1 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1345
· median 1345
· range 1345–1345
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1114
Q1 1260
Q3 1448
1630
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exalted Mordred | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.8 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Overlord | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Slimes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
