← Reaper Game Store - Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Reaper Game Store - Store Championship
decks
2
(18.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
5-4-0
overall winrate
55.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.6%
avg ELO -1.6 per match
expected value
53.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1527
· median 1527
· range 1526–1527
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1278
Q1 1308
Q3 1475
1607
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.8% | +8.4 |
| Water Fractal | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.8% | -4.0 |
| Water Neos | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 9.1% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 32.2% | -13.3 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
